Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Russell


The Russell has been the strongest index during this rally so far. Notice it just bounced off resistance at the 75 week moving average similar to the S&P during the Mar. to May rally.
The S&P so far has not been able to regain the 200 week moving average. This has been a very weak rally up till now. Most of it predicated on the assumption that falling oil will some how prevent the economy from falling into recession. I think that is going to be a false assumption. Falling oil just means the one sector that was still working in the economy is now probably rolling over along with everything else.