Monday, November 3, 2008

Parabolic moves


I've noted in the past that parabolic moves are not sustainable. Not on the upside or on the downside. We are now seeing an extreme decline in the CRB. I doubt this move is sustainable. As a matter of fact you can see on the weekly chart that we may be at the beginning of a bounce.
On the daily chart we can see that the trend from the last month has now been broken. Any bounce in the CRB will probably correspond to a correction in the dollar. As I noted in a previous post the dollar is now in a parabolic rise that will need to be corrected also. I think the odds are good that the dollar correction and commodity bounce is starting.